in simply 12 monthsBased on the newest statistics from DataComex, Morocco has develop into extra distinguished as a provider of olive oil to the Spanish market. (Supply in Spanish)An affiliated workplace of the Ministry of Financial system, Commerce and Trade. From January to April 2025, Spain bought 103 tons of oil from neighboring nations. In the identical interval of 2026, the quantity reached 10,384.7 tons. 9,979% improve is correct and verifiableHowever understanding what that truly means requires some context.
Why is such a excessive proportion not a mistake?
Jumps are primarily defined by the place to begin. If the preliminary worth may be very smalla modest improve in absolute quantity interprets into an exorbitant proportion. From 103 tons to only over 10,000 tons, this quantity will increase by an element of 100.the multiplication is sort of 5 orders of magnitude when expressed as a proportion. The identical sample was noticed within the financial worth of those purchases, growing by 9,535% from €340,000 to €32,760,000.
From a distinct perspective, Moroccan oil continues to be solely a small a part of the Spanish market. Based on information as much as February 2026, Morocco accounted for 7.48% of Spain’s olive oil imports, in comparison with 2.01% in the identical interval final 12 months. Though that is vital progress, it’s removed from a dominant place. Spain additionally produces about 1.295 million tons of oil. The 2025-2026 season will see excess of the ten,000 tonnes imported from Morocco within the first 4 months of the marketing campaign. Morocco’s progress is actual and speedy, however this in itself doesn’t change the burden of home manufacturing.
Spain’s exports are additionally altering
The opposite aspect of the dimensions moved equally. Spain offered 2,721 tons of oil to Morocco from January to April 2025, however this decreased by 75.2% to 673.72 tons in the identical interval in 2026. In worth phrases, Spanish exports fell from 111,100 euros to 2.44 million euros.a lower of virtually 78%. Because of this, commerce relations can be reversed. In 2025, Spain offered extra oil to Morocco than it purchased, however in 2026 the other can be true.
What’s behind Morocco’s rise?
Behind these numbers There’s a superb Morocco operation.: The Moroccan Skilled Olive Federation estimates that manufacturing in 2025-2026 can be near 200,000 tonnes, greater than double the earlier 12 months, due to olive groves recovering from a number of years of drought. Plus it is cheaperIt’s supported by the preferential commerce phrases that the European Union applies to Morocco. Throughout the EU, Moroccan oil purchases elevated by 712.6% from October 2025 to March 2026. Tunisia stays a serious non-EU provider, however81% of which is imported.
On the identical time, manufacturing in Spain goes by a interval of slight decline. The Ministry of Agriculture expects a 9% decline year-on-year, which helps clarify why the market is concentrated on international crude oil. Taken collectively, the information reveals adjustments in commerce patterns The connection between Spain and Morocco deserves shut monitoring, however speak of Moroccan oil changing Spanish oil shouldn’t be but justified.
Remainder of the map: Who else is promoting oil to Spain?
Morocco shouldn’t be the one participant. Within the first two months of 2026, Spain imported a complete of 39,624.61 tons of olive oil, rating the Maghreb nation fourth as a provider after Tunisia (15,861.10 tons), Portugal (13,174.47 tons) and Italy (4,257.19 tons). Tunisia stays, to some extent, Spain’s fundamental exterior provider.4 occasions as a lot as Morocco in the identical interval.
The identical comparability applies at European stage. From October 2025 to March 2026, the EU’s imports of Moroccan crude oil elevated by 712.6% from 1,269 tonnes to 10,312 tonnes. Nonetheless, Tunisia accounts for 81% of all olive oil bought by the EU from third nations.In the meantime, Morocco’s share stays a lot smaller. The European Fee’s personal report additionally recorded vital declines in different conventional provider nations, together with Turkey (-95.1%), Syria (-83.1%) and Argentina (-53.4%). This locations Morocco’s entry into the reallocation of suppliers. It isn’t solely attributable to adjustments in Morocco but additionally in different areas.
